The obvious response to anyone who makes such a claim about our world is, “D’oh.” But Social Sense wonders if most people know how dangerous our world has become. Even among those of us who proclaim a keen sense of the obvious, we note interesting developments in the waning days of one administration, and the early formative years of its successor. If anyone knows anything at all about Russian history and culture, then it was not a surprise when Russia invaded Georgia. They’ve been doing that sort of thing since the 18th Century. But we should understand that the Russians never do anything “out of hand,” or without a reason. We might wonder what that reason was, beyond seeing how far they could go.
A well-planned attack on innocent tourists in Mumbai (formerly Bombay) leaves us with no illusions about the intent of fanatical Islam. One might think that in a nation that holds the world record for acts of Islamic terror, India would have been better prepared to deal with the inevitable, but that isn’t what happened. In one story, a hotel manager placed himself in harms way to protect two of his guests, while Indian police officials cowered behind parked cars. Maybe that was the defining revelation. We don’t have those sort of problems here . . . our first responders are beyond courageous in the face of great danger — but we do have borders that leak like sieves.
China too is being creative lately, and I can guarantee every reader that China never does anything without a well considered, well-planned reason. Within the past few years, China has established “warm” relationships with several South American countries, even including “military assistance.” That should worry our State Department and CIA . . . but there’s no reason for us to have much confidence in the beltway bureaucrats. China is up to more than just stepping on our toes (even if the Monroe Doctrine and Roosevelt Corollary still have any meaning at all). They’ve also stepped up efforts to “re-build” ties with their Southeast Asian neighbors. Is there a word in Vietnamese for BOHICA?
According to BBC News (On line), China’s top political advisor is visiting the Lao capital of Vientiane on a “goodwill” visit, and a Chinese State Councilor is visiting with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen. Well, that could be a good thing. People should be friends, and cooperate. I just hope that the Lao and Cambodian government understand that when you reach down to pick up a snake, there is a risk of snakebite. According to BBC:
“Hun Sen highlighted the importance of China - and its powerful economy - to South East Asia.
“At times under Vietnam's umbrella, Laos and Cambodia have been receiving more Chinese investment, aid, and migration in recent years.
“Chinese state media reported Hun Sen as saying that the fast economic development of China was an encouragement not only for the Chinese people, but for people in the region.
“Laos and Cambodia have been willing recipients of growing amounts of financial and other assistance from China, from the building of roads to the migration of traders. Cambodia appreciated the long-term support and help that China has given for the economic and social development of Cambodia, Hun Sen said. Officials then signed agreements to promote co-ordination of security between the two countries, part of which will involve China donating police equipment to Cambodia.”
But before anyone joins hands and releases several choruses of “Kom-bay-ya,” we might consider another reality. The Vietnamese have been a military and political power in Southeast Asia since the end of the Vietnam War. Were it not for the Vietnamese invasion of Cambodia, the murderous dictator Pol Pot (supported by China) would have killed an additional three-million of his own people (none of which seemed to bother the consciences of many governments). Japan’s response to the genocide was simply, “Regrettable.” In 1975, when China precipitated a border conflict, the Vietnamese army decimated the Chinese. More recently, the Chinese and Vietnamese squabbled over the rightful ownership of the Spratly Islands, which many believe have the potential for rich oil fields, and the winner of that dispute may depend on which side has the strongest Navy . . . and the will to use it. Important note: China never forgets anything, ever.
Meanwhile, China has provided tens of thousands of workers to help construct a major roadway through Northern Laos into Southern China, finances of course by the China Development Bank. But surely, Cambodian and Lao political leaders would never sell out to the Chinese, even in return for personal wealth and prestige; say it isn't so! But even if that were true, doesn’t Chinese investment help to move fourth-world countries forward into the realm of “developing countries?” Oh, yes that is true. But let’s try to imagine that China has more than passing interest in the development of Cambodia and Laos. What could it be?
“Unofficial estimates of about 300,000 new Chinese residents in Laos are impossible to confirm as many Chinese live without documentation, correspondents say. The Xinhua news agency reported Mr Jia as saying that China and Laos have enjoyed "frequent contacts between leaders, ever-deepening economic co-operation and trade, mutual support and close co-ordination in international and regional affairs and expanded exchanges and co-operation in diverse areas."
“Mr Jia said he hoped that this visit will "promote continuous progress in China-Laos relationship featuring long-term stability, good neighbourliness, mutual trust, and comprehensive co-operation.”
Well, maybe. History suggests however that whenever eastern potentates begin using such rhetoric as “promote progress,” and “good neighborliness,” it’s time to report to the armory. The map may tell us the real story behind “international cooperation.”
And this is what happens when the United States ceases to become a respected world power. As we Americans begin to focus all of our attention on our busted economy, borrowing vast sums of money from ... uh, China, and the new administration begins to implement new, enlightened programs based on a spirit of cooperation and goodwill, our world is becoming an even more dangerous place. Thank goodness for President-elect Obama and Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State. But just to be on the safe side, Vietnam should prepare itself for the inevitable.